STARMANCER PATREON DRIVER

The International Grains Council AGAIN cut its 2021/22 world wheat crop outlook this week, by another million tonnes to 788 million - but like the USDA, the Council’s job is to stabilize markets they’re outlook ALWAYS leans on the optimistic side.Įxpect further drops as the season progresses.Īlso, look out for the USDA’s weekly crop condition ratings due today (Monday, Aug 2), and also those private estimates of U.S. crop tour on Thursday projected the average spring wheat yield in North Dakota –the top-producing state– at just 29.1 bushels per acre - this is the lowest in the history of tour records, which extend back to 1993. The poor wheat crop extends further than just Washington.Īn annual U.S. North America, as a whole, recorded one of its worst winters ever in 1978 - it’s no coincidence that this came off the back of a weak solar cycle, and during a deep solar minimum.Īs I’ve been warning for years, extremes will become the new normal as we move on from the Modern Maximum (21, 22 and 23) and plunge deeper and deeper into the next Grand Solar Minimum. Grand Solar Minimum and the Swing Between Extremesįollowing the West’s extreme summer of 1977 came a string of brutal winters. Some solar physicists see solar cycle 24 as the start of the next Grand Solar Minimum: a prolonged period of reduced solar output that sees the jet stream revert from its usual straight ZONAL flows to a weak and wavy MERIDIONAL one. Solar cycles 21, 22 and 23 resulted in the peak of the Modern Maximum: the consistently warm and predictable weather patterns this spell delivered brought-about the mass adoption of ‘monocropping’ however, with the climate now changing –in line with drastically reducing solar activity– these predictable days are over. Forwarding to 2021, we see ourselves landing off the back of Solar Cycle 24 –the weakest cycle of the modern era– AND within another solar minimum –the deepest minimum of the past 100+ years.

Looking at the chart above, we note that the year 1977 falls directly off the back of Solar Cycle 20 –a weak cycle of relatively low output– AND within a solar minimum. Solar activity proxy, running back to the 1940s.īasically, the sun runs on 11-year cycles, with a solar maximum and a solar minimum within each cycle. The Pacific Northwest’s hot and dry summer of 2021 has growers and meteorologists alike comparing it to the summers of the mid/late 1970s, and the below chart offers an explanation: This record allows us to draw tentative patterns between the Sun’s output and weather on Earth. This is why EVERY religion tells of the EXACT same story: a story of the sun.įor more than 400 years now, an accurate sunspot record has been kept.

It always has been, and it always will be.

STARMANCER PATREON DRIVER

Solar activity is the main driver of weather and climate on our planet. “I listen to the older farmers and they said 1977 is the last year it’s been like this.” Kevin Klein asked around the old-time farmers in the state, to see if there’s ever been a year like this one. And in addition to than less time to grow, delayed planting can mean that the wheat is too short to survive the winter. “Even if we get normal rain in the fall and winter, we’re going into the driest soil we’ve ever had,” he addedįarmers will likely have to wait longer to plant if significant rain doesn’t arrive soon.

“There’s no moisture left in the soil we sucked out and it’s all gone,” said Arron Carter, a winter wheat breeder at Washington State University regarding the next wheat planting season. “They see two to three bushels and they just stop.” “There are some people that are not even harvesting,” added Squires. “The spring crop is really going to hurt this year,” said Klein, but at least he has something to harvest. Squires said average winter wheat yields last year were about 76 bushels per acre (with one bushel equaling about 60 pounds of wheat) this year, however, current projections show 55 bushels per acre, with that number expected to drop even further. “I haven’t seen anything like this,” said fourth generation farmer Kevin Klein, who grows in Sprague.Īnd whether you talk to a farmer, wheat breeder or economist, they’ve got one message about Washington’s 2021 wheat harvest: “Generally speaking,” said Glen Squires, CEO of the Washington Grain Commission “for the winter wheat and spring wheat, yields are just down.” Short stalks, thin rows and small bushels Washington wheat growers are harvesting a mess this year. Wavy jet streams are throwing farmers something of a curve ball in 2021, as global temperatures continue to fall in line with the ever-intensifying Grand Solar Minimum (GSM)… Prepare.

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